Simulando as repercussões na cadeia de suministro global das interrupções no envio de graõs ucranianos

Autores

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35588/3c9rjg57

Palavras-chave:

segurança alimentária, cooperaç˜ão internacional, crise alimentárica, minimização de riscos, guerra

Resumo

As cadeias de suministro globais tem uma importância estratégica na economia global atual. A interrupção do suministro de cereais desde Ucrânia sublinha a vulnerabilidade destas cadeias a fatores impredecíveis e justifica a relevância do estudo dos possíveis riscos e consequências. O objetivo do estudo é analizar as possíveis consequências negativas que podem surgir devido às interrupções no suministro de cereais ucranianos na cadeia de suministro mundial. A investigação é teórica e basa-se no uso dos seguintes métodos de cognição: análise de casos, análise descritivo e de sistemas, modelização e simulação. Os resultados indicam que as interrupções no suministro de cereais ucranianos podem ter um impacto grave no mercado global e na economia de Ucrânia em particular, o que pode provocar câmbios nos preços dos cereais, perdas para as empresas agrícolas ucranianas e impacto na segurança alimentária, tanto na Ucrânia como no mundo. Este estudo pode formar a base para construir uma estratégia eficaz para minimizar as possíveis consequências e riescos negativos para o mercado global e a economía de Ucrânia, o qual é importante para garantir a sostenibilidade e confiabilidade das cadeias de suministro de grãos.

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Publicado

2024-11-22

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