Simulando las repercusiones en la cadena de suministro global de las interrupciones en el envío de granos ucranianos
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.35588/3c9rjg57Palabras clave:
seguridad alimentaria, cooperación internacional, crisis alimentaria, minimización de riesgos, guerraResumen
Las cadenas de suministro globales tienen una importancia estratégica en la economía global actual. La interrupción del suministro de cereales desde Ucrania subraya la vulnerabilidad de estas cadenas a factores impredecibles y justifica la relevancia del estudio de los posibles riesgos y consecuencias. El objetivo del estudio es analizar las posibles consecuencias negativas que pueden surgir debido a las interrupciones en el suministro de cereales ucranianos en la cadena de suministro mundial. La investigación es teórica y se basa en el uso de los siguientes métodos de cognición: análisis de casos, análisis descriptivo y de sistemas, modelización y simulación. Los resultados indican que las interrupciones en el suministro de cereales ucranianos pueden tener un impacto grave en el mercado global y en la economía de Ucrania en particular, lo que puede provocar cambios en los precios de los cereales, pérdidas para las empresas agrícolas ucranianas e impacto en la seguridad alimentaria, tanto en Ucrania como en el mundo. Este estudio puede formar la base para construir una estrategia eficaz para minimizar las posibles consecuencias y riesgos negativos para el mercado global y la economía de Ucrania, lo cual es importante para garantizar la sostenibilidad y confiabilidad de las cadenas de suministro de granos.
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