Quem ganha no comércio do arroz? Informação assimétrica e transmissão de preços no mercado do arroz da Indonésia

Autores

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.35588/6pann874

Palavras-chave:

arroz, comercialização agrícola, política de preços

Resumo

Este estudo examina como os preços do arroz são transferidos dos agricultores para outras agências de comercialização. Este estudo utiliza dados mensais sobre os preços do arroz aos níveis de produtor (agricultor), moinho de arroz e grossista de 2010 a 2024 na Indonésia. Enquanto isso, o método utilizado neste estudo é a regressão do Modelo de Correção de Erros. Os resultados indicam a presença de integração de mercado e assimetria na transmissão vertical dos preços do arroz entre os agricultores e outras agências de comercialização, tanto a curto como a longo prazo. A transmissão assimétrica de preços resulta do abuso de poder de mercado e dos custos de ajustamento. O governo deve monitorizar os preços do arroz, garantir o comércio justo, detetar irregularidades e incentivar o aumento da participação nos mercados do arroz.

Downloads

Os dados de download ainda não estão disponíveis.

Referências

Arida, A., Masbar, R., Majid, M., and Indra, I. (2023). Does vertical asymmetric price transmission exist in the rice markets? Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, 9(1), 69-90. https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2023.09.01.04

Aryani, D., Natawidjaja, R., Noor, T., and Mulyana, A. (2021). The integration of rice market in Indonesia as an archipelago country (Vector error correction model analysis). International Journal on Advanced Science, Engineering and Information Technology, 11(4), 1663-1669. https://doi.org/10.18517/ijaseit.11.4.11264

Asrin, S., Andita Putri, T., and Utami, A.D. (2022). Transmisi harga beras di Indonesia pada masa pandemi Covid-19. Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia, 10(1), 159-168. https://doi.org/10.29244/jai.2022.10.1.159-168

Bondemark, A. (2020). The relationship between accessibility and price: The case of Swedish food stores. Journal of Transport Geography, 82, 102615. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2019.102615

Center for Agricultural Data and Information Systems (2024). Food consumption statistics 2024. Ministry of Agriculture, Republic of Indonesia.

Dharmawan, B., Nasir, M., and Aisyah, D. (2024). Optimizing the role of rice central market in Java, Indonesia: The effect of toll roads construction to the rice market integration. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1323, 012015. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1323/1/012015

Difah, D., Harianto, H., and Hakim, D. (2020). Transmisi harga beras di Indonesia: Pendekatan threshold cointegration. Journal of Food System and Agribusiness, 3(2). https://doi.org/10.25181/JOFSA.V3I2.1561

Engle, R.F. and Granger, C.W.J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913236

Firdaus, A.H. and Nurhayati, E. (2023). Future Food Demand in Poor Indonesian Districts. Center for Indonesian Policy Studies. https://doi.org/10.35497/563231

Götz, L., von Cramon-Taubadel, S., and Kachel, Y. (2014). Vertical price transmission in the international fresh fruit and vegetable supply chain: Israeli grapefruit exports to the EU after export liberalisation. Quarterly Journal of International Agriculture, 53(2), 99-120.

Granger, C.W.J. and Lee, T.H. (1989). Investigation of production, sales and inventory relationships using multicointegration and non-symmetric error correction models. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4(S1), S145-S159.

Kharisma, B. and Indrawan, Z. (2023). Analysis of rice price transmission in West Java, Indonesia. Cogent Food and Agriculture, 9, 2266198. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311932.2023.2266198

Mohanty, S., Peterson, E.W.F., and Kruse, N.C. (1996). Price asymmetry in the international wheat market. Canadian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 44(4), 355-366. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1744-7976.1995.tb00128.x

Mulyana, A., Lastinawati, E., Lifianthi, L., Riswani, R., and Aryani, D. (2020). Price transmission after the determination of rice ceiling price in South Sumatra Province: Analysis of secondary and empirical data. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 497, 012042. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/497/1/012042

Novianti, T., Mashito, M., and Muryani, M. (2020). Asymmetry price transmission in market rice in Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Terapan, 5(2), 1-16.

Pindyck, R.S. (2004). Volatility and commodity price dynamics. Journal of Futures Markets, 24(11), 1029-1047. https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.20120

Rezitis, A.N. (2014). Vertical price transmission in the Greek food market: Empirical evidence from the beef sector. Economic Modelling, 36, 560-573.

Ruslan, J.A. and Paramita, D.A. (2022). Market efficiency of main food commodities in West Java Province. Suluh Pembangunan: Journal of Extension and Development, 4(1), 18-25. https://doi.org/10.23960/jsp.Vol4.No1.2022.120

Sadiq, S., Singh, I., and Ahmad, M. (2021). Spatial market integration of rice in the world. Türkiye Tarımsal Araştırmalar Dergisi. https://doi.org/10.19159/TUTAD.810375

Shaffitri, L., Suryana, E., and Sinuraya, J. (2024). Market integration and rice price transmission in Indonesia. BIO Web of Conferences, 119, 02007. https://doi.org/10.1051/bioconf/202411902007

Suryana, A., Hartono, M., Suryana, M., Sinaga, J., and Irawan, A. (2024). Stability of rice availability and prices in Indonesia during the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine war. BIO Web of Conferences, 119, 02013. https://doi.org/10.1051/bioconf/202411902013

Suryani, E., Hendrawan, R.A., Damanhuri, Rahmawati, U.E., and Chou, S.Y. (2022). Scenario development to create a sustainable price of rice: A system thinking approach. Procedia Computer Science, 197, 599-606. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2021.12.178

Sustainable Rice Platform (2023, August). Emerging trends in Asia’s sustainable rice consumption: Indonesia edition. Sustainable Rice Platform. https://sustainablerice.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/Emerging-Trends-in-Asias-sustainable-rice-consumption_Indonesia.pdf

Von Cramon-Taubadel, S. and Loy, J.P. (1999). The identification of asymmetric price transmission processes with integrated time series. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, 218(1-2), 85-106. https://doi.org/10.1515/jbnst-1999-1-206

Downloads

Submetido

2025-05-26

Publicado

2026-07-26

Edição

Secção

Artigos